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AI Winter Coming? Future of AI Dev

Building
December 5, 2024
Guy Podjarny explores if an AI winter is approaching, AI development's future, OpenAI's impact, and developers' roles.
Topics discussed in the episode:
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Which product strategies impressed Guy Podjarny?
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What's the secret to a happy marriage for founders?
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How to handle disrespectful investors?
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How will AI change Product Managers' roles?
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What is agentic development?
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Why is security an increasing problem with AI dev tools?
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How will AI impact tech company structures?
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What's the future role of software developers?
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Will specialized AI models overtake general models?
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Is NVIDIA undervalued?

Which product strategies impressed Guy Podjarny?

Learning from effective product strategies can inspire founders in their own ventures.

"I really liked that finding that opportunity and really tapping into it."

  • Bold moves, like Intercom’s focus on autonomous agents, can pay off.
  • Seeing opportunities and executing well is crucial.
  • Staying innovative keeps companies ahead in competitive markets.

What's the secret to a happy marriage for founders?

Balancing personal life with startup commitments is vital for founders' well-being.

"Communication. Don't let things stew when there's something that is bothersome... I don't think I go to sleep angry."

  • Open communication is key in personal relationships.
  • Address issues promptly rather than letting them build up.
  • Maintaining personal well-being supports professional success.

How to handle disrespectful investors?

Learning from negative investor experiences can help founders navigate fundraising more effectively.

"To me, the worst thing is to have to be in the room with someone you bothered going to and have them not pay attention to you."

  • Respect and engagement are crucial in investor-founder meetings.
  • Seek investors who value your time and vision.
  • Recognize red flags early in investor relations.

How will AI change Product Managers' roles?

With AI transforming development, it's important to consider how Product Managers' roles will adapt.

"I think the roles of those individuals will actually stay fairly similar... They spend most of their time with users, with customers... That would probably be AI-assisted as well."

  • Product Managers may see roles augmented by AI assistance.
  • Focus on user empathy and understanding remains critical.
  • Embracing AI tools can enhance decision-making.

What is agentic development?

Understanding agentic development helps founders leverage AI effectively in software creation.

"Agentic development... depends on at what level do you sort of delegate a task to the machine... That's the extreme of an agentic system."

  • Agentic development involves higher-level delegation to AI.
  • Less human control compared to traditional AI dev tools.
  • Choosing the right approach depends on desired control and complexity.

Why is security an increasing problem with AI dev tools?

As AI dev tools become widespread, understanding the heightened security risks is crucial for founders.

"There's a lot more unrevised code that gets deployed... people produce software... they don't maintain code. And so that code will stick around... code rots over time... These systems will become more prone to attacks."

  • AI-generated code may introduce vulnerabilities due to lack of oversight.
  • Ongoing maintenance and security reviews are essential.
  • Implementing guardrails and controls can mitigate risks.

How will AI impact tech company structures?

Founders need to anticipate how AI advancements will reshape the organizational structure of tech companies.

"I think you'd still have the strategy, you'd still have the developers and you have teams... I don't think a lot of the structure will change dramatically... the roles of the different positions, the sort of the scope of what they can do are the things that will change."

  • Core structures may remain, but roles within will evolve.
  • Teams may achieve more with AI, changing responsibility scopes.
  • Plan for role adaptations rather than structural overhauls.

What's the future role of software developers?

With AI transforming coding tasks, it's vital to consider how the role of software developers will evolve.

"I think in 10 years time coding would be very much alive and well, but it would be the edge case... I think most developers will either progress up the architect path... they will really invest in those trade offs."

  • Developers will focus more on architectural and strategic decisions.
  • Roles will shift towards system thinking and critical trade-offs.
  • Adapting to this change can keep developers relevant in an AI-driven environment.

Will specialized AI models overtake general models?

Understanding whether specialized AI models can overtake general models is crucial for founders leveraging AI in their startups.

"The counter argument is that you would actually really benefit from specialized models... if the big guns are really trying to get like the massive models and they're trying to scale and they fail... then the ones that are building, you know, maybe code specific or robotic specific models... they may have a shot."

  • Specialized AI models could offer advantages in specific domains.
  • Startups may find opportunities by focusing on niche areas.
  • Investing in specialization may be strategic amid giants focusing on general models.

Is NVIDIA undervalued?

As founders in the tech industry, understanding market valuations of key players like NVIDIA can inform our strategic decisions.

"I think they are going to continue to dominate... but the third question is, what do you think about... that was a bit trickier because it really isn't a question of, would they grow? The question is, should you put that money into other stock?"

  • Guy believes NVIDIA will continue to dominate the AI semiconductor market.
  • He acknowledges the valuation may still be in question despite market growth.
  • Founders should weigh market growth against investment alternatives when evaluating such companies.